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December 07, 2007

Shilled Numbers

Just read this from Realty Times: Battle of the Warring Housing Price Indexes
by Kenneth R. Harney
that compares the competing OFHEO (the Government) and Shiller index and maybe why they are so different.

"What's going on here? For starters, the two surveys are measuring very different things-even if news reports don't bother to tell you that. The Case-Shiller index has no data whatsoever from 13 states and incomplete data from 29 states. It does not cover condominiums or refinancings … but it does cover houses with subprime and jumbo loans.

The OFHEO study covers every state -- and that's very important because some of the strongest state and local housing markets today are in areas missed or incompletely covered by Case-Shiller. "

I mention this only because the Shiller data is what you see quoted all the time. Especially by the Bubblistas.

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» Tim points out just howbad from 4realz.net
the Case-Shiller index is.   Interesting because Ive heard multiple times in the past few months how trivial it would be to create a better index and Im somewhat surprised Zillow hasnt taken this on yet. But then again, ... [Read More]

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I've noticed that too - I often wondered (though why I wondered I have no idea) why they kept using only Shiller data - when it's inaccurate even for the focus it's reporting . . .

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